Big Speculators push Mexican Peso Wagers to a 65 -week high:: InvestMacro

By InvestMacro

Right here are the most recent charts and statistics for the Dedication of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT information is upgraded through Tuesday September 9 th and shows a fast sight of just how large market participants ( for-profit speculators and industrial traders were positioned in the futures markets. All currency placements remain in direct connection to the United States dollar where, for example, a wager for the euro is a bet that the euro will certainly rise versus the dollar while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the euro will decline versus the dollar.

Weekly Speculator Changes led by Brazilian Real & & Japanese Yen

The COT currency market speculator wagers were on the whole higher this week as 7 out of the eleven currency markets we cover had greater positioning while the other four markets had reduced speculator agreements.

Leading the gains for the currency markets was the Brazilian Genuine (22, 918 contracts) with the Japanese Yen (18, 385 contracts), the EuroFX (6, 085 contracts), the Australian Dollar (3, 452 agreements), the Mexican Peso (719 agreements), Bitcoin (434 contracts) and the Canadian Buck (59 contracts) likewise showing favorable weeks.

The currencies seeing declines in speculator bank on the week were the Swiss Franc (- 2, 951 agreements), the New Zealand Buck (- 2, 269 agreements), the United States Dollar Index (- 537 contracts) and with the British Extra Pound (- 465 agreements) additionally signing up reduced bank on the week.

Large Speculators push Mexican Peso Wagers to a 65 -week high

Highlighting the money speculator settings this week is the increasingly bullish Mexican Peso sentiment. Speculators increased their favorable bets for the Mexican Peso today for a 4th successive week and for the 7th break of the past eight weeks. The Peso placement has now included + 23, 610 web agreements over these past eight weeks and this bullish energy has brought the current net standing to an overall of + 73, 732 web favorable agreements.

This marks the highest degree for the Mexican Peso contracts in the previous 65 weeks, dating back to June 11 th of 2024 when the web setting was last over + 100, 000 agreements. The Peso placing was strong throughout the very first half of 2024 with 15 consecutive weeks of contracts over the + 100, 000 agreement degree. Peso bets after that began to cool down mid- 2024 and gradually reduced to a general negative net position on January 21 st of 2025 Since then, agreements have actually rebounded, boosted and increased to this week’s 65 -week high.

Regardless of the enhanced bullishness for the Peso, the toughness rating is still simply modestly high at 66 % of its three-year range. This shows that if favorable momentum continues, there is plenty of room to go before a bullish extreme is reached.

The Mexican Peso setting in the exchange markets versus the United States dollar has been on an uptrend given that the beginning of the year. The Peso has actually climbed via its 200 -week moving average and is presently up 13 10 % against the United States Buck so far.

Bitcoin leads Rate Efficiency for the Week

The money market price efficiency today was led by Bitcoin, which climbed by 4 41 % for the past 5 days. Bitcoin is now up by 13 % over the last 90 days.

Next was the Australian Dollar, which boosted by 1 50 % this week. The Australian Dollar is up by 3 % over the last 30 days and is greater by 3 74 % over the last 90 days. The Mexican Peso was available in next with a 1 47 % gain and the Peso has risen by 5 57 % over the past 90 days.

The New Zealand Buck progressed by 1 16 % over the last five days. The Brazilian Genuine saw a gain of 0. 86 % while the Actual is now up by around 6 % in the last 90 days.

The British Pound Sterling was available in next with a 0. 45 % surge, followed by the Swiss Franc, which was higher by 0. 26 %. The Euro saw prices border up by simply 0. 16 % and the Canadian Dollar was virtually unmodified with a 0. 05 % advance.

On the disadvantage, the United States Buck Index was virtually unchanged, down by -0. 07 %, while the Japanese Yen was simply a tick lower with a -0. 09 % decrease.

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Currencies Data:

Tale: Open Rate of interest|Speculators Current Web Position|Weekly Specs Adjustment|Specifications Toughness Score compared to last 3 -Years (0- 100 variety)

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Strength Ratings led by Brazilian Real & & EuroFX

COT Stamina Ratings (a normalized procedure of Speculator positions over a 3 -Year range, from 0 to 100 where over 80 is Extreme-Bullish and below 20 is Extreme-Bearish) showed that the Brazilian Real (90 percent) and the EuroFX (77 percent) lead the money markets today. The Japanese Yen (76 percent), Mexican Peso (66 percent) and the New Zealand Buck (54 percent) come in as the next greatest in the once a week toughness scores.

On the drawback, the US Dollar Index (4 percent) and the British Extra Pound (11 percent) can be found in at the lowest strength degrees currently and are in Extreme-Bearish region (listed below 20 percent). The following least expensive toughness scores are the Australian Dollar (20 percent).

3 -Year Strength Data:
United States Buck Index (3 7 percent) vs US Buck Index previous week (50 percent)
EuroFX (76 6 percent) vs EuroFX previous week (74 3 percent)
British Pound Sterling (10 8 percent) vs British Extra pound Sterling previous week (110 percent)
Japanese Yen (75 9 percent) vs Japanese Yen previous week (70 8 percent)
Swiss Franc (42 5 percent) vs Swiss Franc previous week (48 4 percent)
Canadian Dollar (43 1 percent) vs Canadian Dollar previous week (43 1 percent)
Australian Buck (20 1 percent) vs Australian Buck previous week (17 6 percent)
New Zealand Dollar (54 4 percent) vs New Zealand Buck previous week (570 percent)
Mexican Peso (66 4 percent) vs Mexican Peso previous week (660 percent)
Brazilian Real (90 1 percent) vs Brazilian Actual previous week (71 5 percent)
Bitcoin (42 8 percent) vs Bitcoin previous week (33 6 percent)

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Brazilian Real & & Bitcoin cover the 6 -Week Strength Trends

COT Stamina Score Patterns (or move index, calculates the 6 -week adjustments in stamina ratings) revealed that the Brazilian Real (26 percent) and Bitcoin (11 percent) lead the previous 6 weeks trends for the money. The Mexican Peso (9 percent) was the following greatest positive mover in the 3 -Year patterns information.

The Canadian Buck (- 16 percent) leads the disadvantage pattern ratings presently with the British Pound (- 11 percent), Swiss Franc (- 10 percent) and the New Zealand Buck (- 8 percent) adhering to next with lower trend scores.

3 -Year Stamina Trends:
United States Dollar Index (- 3 5 percent) vs US Buck Index previous week (- 3 9 percent)
EuroFX (0. 9 percent) vs EuroFX previous week (- 2 3 percent)
British Pound Sterling (- 11.0 percent) vs British Pound Sterling previous week (- 17 1 percent)
Japanese Yen (0. 7 percent) vs Japanese Yen previous week (- 9 2 percent)
Swiss Franc (- 9 7 percent) vs Swiss Franc previous week (0. 4 percent)
Canadian Dollar (- 16.0 percent) vs Canadian Buck previous week (- 19 1 percent)
Australian Buck (-0. 8 percent) vs Australian Buck previous week (- 1.0 percent)
New Zealand Dollar (- 7 7 percent) vs New Zealand Dollar previous week (- 3 8 percent)
Mexican Peso (8 7 percent) vs Mexican Peso previous week (8 6 percent)
Brazilian Genuine (26 1 percent) vs Brazilian Real previous week (5 9 percent)
Bitcoin (11 4 percent) vs Bitcoin previous week (20 1 percent)

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Specific COT Foreign Exchange Markets:

United States Dollar Index Futures:

The US Buck Index huge speculator standing today reached a net position of – 5, 558 contracts in the data reported via Tuesday. This was an once a week lowering of – 537 contracts from the previous week which had a total of – 5, 021 net contracts.

This week’s current stamina rating (the investor positioning array over the previous three years, gauged from 0 to 100 reveals the speculators are presently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 3 7 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 99 8 percent and the tiny investors (disappointed in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 15 6 percent.

Rate Trend-Following Model: Weak Downtrend

Our weekly trend-following model categorizes the existing market price position as: Weak Downtrend

US DOLLAR INDEX Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
— Percent of Open Passion Longs:	50 5	34 9	6 8
— Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	65 1	17 5	9 7
— Web Setting:	– 5, 558	6, 642	– 1, 084
— Gross Longs:	19, 192	13, 288	2, 604
— Gross Shorts:	24, 750	6, 646	3, 688
— Long to Short Proportion:	0. 8 to 1	2.0 to 1	0. 7 to 1
NET PLACEMENT PATTERN:
— Strength Index Score (3 Year Array Pct):	3 7	99 8	15 6
— Strength Index Reading (3 Year Variety):	Bearish-Extreme	Bullish-Extreme	Bearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOTION INDEX:
— 6 -Week Adjustment in Stamina Index:	– 3 5	6 4	– 18 9

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Euro Currency Futures:

The Euro Currency huge speculator standing this week got to an internet placement of 125, 677 contracts in the information reported via Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 6, 085 agreements from the previous week which had a total amount of 119, 592 web contracts.

This week’s present toughness rating (the trader positioning range over the past three years, gauged from 0 to 100 shows the speculators are currently Favorable with a score of 76 6 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 20.0 percent and the tiny investors (disappointed in graph) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 88 4 percent.

Rate Trend-Following Model: Uptrend

Our regular trend-following version identifies the current market price position as: Uptrend

EURO Money Data	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
— Percent of Open Passion Longs:	29 4	53 4	11 4
— Percent of Open Rate Of Interest Shorts:	15 1	73 9	5 3
— Net Setting:	125, 677	– 179, 647	53, 970
— Gross Longs:	258, 049	468, 861	100, 417
— Gross Shorts:	132, 372	648, 508	46, 447
— Long to Short Proportion:	1 9 to 1	0. 7 to 1	2 2 to 1
NET SETTING FAD:
— Strength Index Rating (3 Year Range Pct):	76 6	20.0	88 4
— Strength Index Reading (3 Year Variety):	Bullish	Bearish-Extreme	Bullish-Extreme
WEB PLACEMENT MOTION INDEX:
— 6 -Week Adjustment in Strength Index:	0. 9	– 1 3	3 3

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British Extra Pound Sterling Futures:

The British Extra pound Sterling large speculator standing today reached an internet position of – 33, 605 contracts in the information reported with Tuesday. This was an once a week decrease of – 465 contracts from the previous week which had an overall of – 33, 140 net agreements.

This week’s present strength rating (the trader positioning range over the past 3 years, determined from 0 to 100 shows the speculators are presently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 10 8 percent. The commercials are Favorable with a rating of 78 9 percent and the small traders (not shown in graph) are Favorable with a score of 70 2 percent.

Cost Trend-Following Version: Strong Uptrend

Our once a week trend-following version identifies the existing market price setting as: Solid Uptrend

BRITISH Extra Pound Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
— Percent of Open Passion Longs:	23 2	57 1	10 4
— Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	33 6	47 9	9 2
— Web Setting:	– 33, 605	29, 784	3, 821
— Gross Longs:	74, 849	184, 370	33, 639
— Gross Shorts:	108, 454	154, 586	29, 818
— Long to Short Ratio:	0. 7 to 1	1 2 to 1	1 1 to 1
NET POSITION FAD:
— Toughness Index Score (3 Year Array Pct):	10 8	78 9	70 2
— Stamina Index Checking Out (3 Year Variety):	Bearish-Extreme	Bullish	Favorable
INTERNET PLACEMENT ACTIVITY INDEX:
— 6 -Week Modification in Strength Index:	– 11.0	7 1	10 8

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Japanese Yen Futures:

The Japanese Yen big speculator standing today got to a net position of 91, 643 contracts in the information reported with Tuesday. This was an once a week boost of 18, 385 contracts from the previous week which had an overall of 73, 258 internet agreements.

This week’s existing strength score (the trader positioning range over the past 3 years, measured from 0 to 100 shows the speculators are presently Favorable with a score of 75 9 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a rating of 25 6 percent and the small traders (disappointed in graph) are Favorable with a rating of 63 2 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Drop

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the present market price placement as: Sag

JAPANESE YEN Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
— Percent of Open Passion Longs:	44.0	38 4	10 6
— Percent of Open Rate Of Interest Shorts:	21 7	62 9	8 5
— Internet Placement:	91, 643	– 100, 442	8, 799
— Gross Longs:	180, 724	157, 854	43, 537
— Gross Shorts:	89, 081	258, 296	34, 738
— Long to Short Proportion:	2.0 to 1	0. 6 to 1	1 3 to 1
NET SETTING PATTERN:
— Toughness Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	75 9	25 6	63 2
— Stamina Index Checking Out (3 Year Array):	Favorable	Bearish	Bullish
NET PLACEMENT MOVEMENT INDEX:
— 6 -Week Modification in Stamina Index:	0. 7	– 2.0	12 9

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Swiss Franc Futures:

The Swiss Franc huge speculator standing today got to a web setting of – 28, 839 agreements in the information reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of – 2, 951 contracts from the previous week which had an overall of – 25, 888 web contracts.

Today’s present toughness rating (the trader placing range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100 shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 42 5 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a rating of 49 7 percent and the tiny traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a rating of 70 4 percent.

Price Trend-Following Version: Uptrend

Our once a week trend-following version categorizes the current market price setting as: Uptrend

SWISS FRANC Data	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
— Percent of Open Interest Longs:	6 6	74 1	16 5
— Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	34 1	44 8	18 4
— Web Setting:	– 28, 839	30, 815	– 1, 976
— Gross Longs:	6, 989	77, 874	17, 332
— Gross Shorts:	35, 828	47, 059	19, 308
— Long to Short Ratio:	0. 2 to 1	1 7 to 1	0. 9 to 1
NET PLACEMENT FAD:
— Toughness Index Rating (3 Year Array Pct):	42 5	49 7	70 4
— Toughness Index Reading (3 Year Variety):	Bearish	Bearish	Favorable
INTERNET POSITION MOTION INDEX:
— 6 -Week Change in Toughness Index:	– 9 7	4 1	9 7

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Canadian Dollar Futures:

The Canadian Dollar big speculator standing this week got to an internet position of – 108, 917 agreements in the data reported via Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 59 contracts from the previous week which had a total of – 108, 976 web contracts.

Today’s present toughness rating (the trader positioning variety over the previous three years, determined from 0 to 100 reveals the speculators are currently Bearish with a rating of 43 1 percent. The commercials are Favorable with a rating of 60 9 percent and the tiny investors (disappointed in graph) are Bearish with a rating of 26 5 percent.

Rate Trend-Following Design: Weak Uptrend

Our once a week trend-following design categorizes the existing market value placement as: Weak Uptrend

CANADIAN DOLLAR Stats	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
— Percent of Open Rate Of Interest Longs:	7 5	77 2	10 1
— Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	51 2	31 1	12 6
— Internet Position:	– 108, 917	115, 041	– 6, 124
— Gross Longs:	18, 704	192, 465	25, 216
— Gross Shorts:	127, 621	77, 424	31, 340
— Long to Short Proportion:	0. 1 to 1	2 5 to 1	0. 8 to 1
WEB POSITION TREND:
— Strength Index Rating (3 Year Array Pct):	43 1	60 9	26 5
— Stamina Index Reading (3 Year Array):	Bearish	Favorable	Bearish
WEB PLACEMENT MOTION INDEX:
— 6 -Week Adjustment in Strength Index:	– 16.0	16 6	– 15 1

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Australian Buck Futures:

The Australian Buck huge speculator standing this week reached an internet placement of – 79, 231 contracts in the information reported with Tuesday. This was a weekly breakthrough of 3, 452 contracts from the previous week which had an overall of – 82, 683 web agreements.

Today’s current toughness rating (the trader placing array over the previous 3 years, measured from 0 to 100 shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 20 1 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 73 6 percent and the little investors (disappointed in chart) are Bullish with a score of 64 9 percent.

Rate Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our regular trend-following design classifies the existing market value position as: Solid Uptrend

AUSTRALIAN Buck Stats	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
— Percent of Open Passion Longs:	15 5	67 8	12 1
— Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	53 5	32 6	9 2
— Net Position:	– 79, 231	73, 221	6, 010
— Gross Longs:	32, 200	141, 051	25, 129
— Gross Shorts:	111, 431	67, 830	19, 119
— Long to Short Ratio:	0. 3 to 1	2 1 to 1	1 3 to 1
NET SETTING FAD:
— Stamina Index Score (3 Year Array Pct):	20 1	73 6	64 9
— Strength Index Checking Out (3 Year Array):	Bearish	Favorable	Bullish
NET POSITION MOTION INDEX:
— 6 -Week Change in Toughness Index:	-0. 8	– 1 1	7 8

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New Zealand Dollar Futures:

The New Zealand Dollar huge speculator standing this week got to a web position of – 8, 743 agreements in the data reported through Tuesday. This was an once a week lowering of – 2, 269 contracts from the previous week which had an overall of – 6, 474 net agreements.

Today’s present stamina rating (the investor placing array over the past 3 years, determined from 0 to 100 shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a rating of 54 4 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a rating of 46 3 percent and the tiny investors (not shown in graph) are Bearish with a score of 26 8 percent.

Cost Trend-Following Model: Drop

Our weekly trend-following version identifies the existing market value position as: Downtrend

NEW ZEALAND Buck Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
— Percent of Open Passion Longs:	21 6	53 2	5 1
— Percent of Open Passion Shorts:	33 8	38.0	8.0
— Web Placement:	– 8, 743	10, 841	– 2, 098
— Gross Longs:	15, 479	38, 065	3, 637
— Gross Shorts:	24, 222	27, 224	5, 735
— Long to Short Ratio:	0. 6 to 1	1 4 to 1	0. 6 to 1
NET SETTING TREND:
— Toughness Index Rating (3 Year Array Pct):	54 4	46 3	26 8
— Toughness Index Reading (3 Year Variety):	Bullish	Bearish	Bearish
INTERNET POSITION ACTIVITY INDEX:
— 6 -Week Change in Stamina Index:	– 7 7	10 9	– 38 5

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Mexican Peso Futures:

The Mexican Peso large speculator standing this week got to a net position of 73, 732 contracts in the information reported with Tuesday. This was a weekly gain of 719 agreements from the previous week which had a total amount of 73, 013 net contracts.

This week’s current toughness score (the investor positioning variety over the previous three years, determined from 0 to 100 shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 66 4 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 34 4 percent and the tiny traders (disappointed in chart) are Bearish with a score of 43 8 percent.

Rate Trend-Following Version: Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following version categorizes the present market price setting as: Uptrend

MEXICAN PESO Stats	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
— Percent of Open Passion Longs:	50 4	41 7	3 3
— Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	15 8	78 1	1 5
— Internet Setting:	73, 732	– 77, 535	3, 803
— Gross Longs:	107, 503	89, 064	7, 051
— Gross Shorts:	33, 771	166, 599	3, 248
— Long to Short Proportion:	3 2 to 1	0. 5 to 1	2 2 to 1
NET PLACEMENT FAD:
— Stamina Index Rating (3 Year Variety Pct):	66 4	34 4	43 8
— Toughness Index Reviewing (3 Year Range):	Favorable	Bearish	Bearish
WEB SETTING MOVEMENT INDEX:
— 6 -Week Adjustment in Strength Index:	8 7	– 9.0	2 1

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Brazilian Real Futures:

The Brazilian Actual huge speculator standing this week got to a web placement of 56, 087 contracts in the information reported with Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 22, 918 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 33, 169 net agreements.

This week’s existing strength score (the investor positioning range over the past three years, determined from 0 to 100 reveals the speculators are presently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 90 1 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 8 4 percent and the tiny investors (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a rating of 43 5 percent.

Rate Trend-Following Design: Strong Uptrend

Our regular trend-following version categorizes the present market value position as: Solid Uptrend

BRAZIL REAL Data	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
— Percent of Open Passion Longs:	62 9	32.0	4 5
— Percent of Open Rate Of Interest Shorts:	10 7	87 9	0. 8
— Internet Position:	56, 087	– 60, 098	4, 011
— Gross Longs:	67, 641	34, 405	4, 856
— Gross Shorts:	11, 554	94, 503	845
— Long to Short Proportion:	5 9 to 1	0. 4 to 1	5 7 to 1
INTERNET POSITION TREND:
— Strength Index Rating (3 Year Range Pct):	90 1	8 4	43 5
— Toughness Index Reading (3 Year Array):	Bullish-Extreme	Bearish-Extreme	Bearish
NET SETTING MOVEMENT INDEX:
— 6 -Week Adjustment in Strength Index:	26 1	– 26 5	5 4

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Bitcoin Futures:

The Bitcoin huge speculator standing today got to an internet position of – 468 contracts in the information reported through Tuesday. This was a regular breakthrough of 434 contracts from the previous week which had a total amount of – 902 web agreements.

This week’s current strength rating (the investor positioning array over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100 shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 42 8 percent. The commercials are Favorable with a rating of 57 9 percent and the little investors (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a rating of 58 7 percent.

Rate Trend-Following Model: Uptrend

Our once a week trend-following design identifies the present market price position as: Uptrend

BITCOIN Stats	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
— Percent of Open Passion Longs:	85 7	4.0	4 7
— Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	87 4	3 8	3 2
— Web Setting:	– 468	56	412
— Gross Longs:	23, 075	1, 081	1, 263
— Gross Shorts:	23, 543	1, 025	851
— Long to Short Proportion:	1.0 to 1	1 1 to 1	1 5 to 1
WEB PLACEMENT PATTERN:
— Toughness Index Score (3 Year Variety Pct):	42 8	57 9	58 7
— Stamina Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Favorable	Favorable
NET PLACEMENT MOTION INDEX:
— 6 -Week Modification in Toughness Index:	11 4	– 10 6	– 3 4

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* COT Report : The COT data , launched regular to the public each Friday, is upgraded with the most current Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and reveals a quick view of just how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC classifies trader settings according to industrial hedgers (investors who make use of futures agreements for hedging as component of the business), non-commercials (big traders that hypothesize to understand trading revenues) and nonreportable traders (generally tiny traders/speculators) in addition to their open passion (contracts open in the marketplace at time of reporting). See CFTC requirements here